Sejm Marshal Bronislaw Komorowski has set...

Jaroslaw Kaczynski, the twin brother of the late president, seems to be the only candidate the conservative Law and Justice party has to run against Bronislaw Komorowski, 57. Party leaders seem quite certain that Jaroslaw will remain the sole nominee. But while the tragic plane crash outside Smolensk may garner him some sympathy votes, it won"t be enough to put him over the top. Many Poles understand that being buried alongside kings and other great Poles in Krakow"s Wawel Cathedral does not mean that you"re their equal. Poles genuinely mourned for all the victims of the plane crash, but unity born of a shared tragedy and shared history doesn"t translate into shared views on the future of Poland.

According to the latest public opinion polls, if the elections were held today, Komorowski would either win in the first round by 20%-25% or defeat Jaroslaw Kaczynski soundly in the run-off. If no candidate receives more than 50% of the votes in the first round, the run-off will be held

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